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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.39+5.36vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+4.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.69+2.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.42+2.51vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.53+4.61vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+5.01vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36+3.24vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.90+0.06vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.80-0.51vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.37+0.20vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.49vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.84-7.02vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University1.50-7.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-4.76vs Predicted
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16Boston College0.16-5.11vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.61-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.36Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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6.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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5.44Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.51Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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11.01Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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8.06Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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8.49University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.89Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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13.24Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Leila Pfrang | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ella Towner | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 3.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 13.5% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% |
| Emily Gaillard | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 13.9% | 15.3% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.8% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Demand | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 10.2% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.