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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+4.80vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+3.27vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.80+5.26vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.57+1.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+4.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+0.31vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.84-2.06vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+2.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.16+1.41vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-3.83vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.90-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.53-2.82vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.61-0.29vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University0.37-5.39vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-6.71vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.53-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.8Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.27Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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5.84Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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9.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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10.52Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.41Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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6.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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12.71Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.61Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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14.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 12.7% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Leila Pfrang | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Janzen | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 4.5% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kiana Beachy | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Ella Towner | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 26.8% | 18.7% |
| Emily Gaillard | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.9% |
| Meara Conley | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 1.8% |
| Hannah Beaver | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 14.9% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.