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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.57+4.64vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.50+3.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.42+3.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.25vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+4.13vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.84-1.02vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.69-1.59vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.86-0.05vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island0.80-0.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.16+0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53-1.83vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.37-2.25vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-2.44vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.53-4.91vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-2.20vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.53-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.85Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.13Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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4.98Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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10.48Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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9.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.75Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.56Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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12.8Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 10.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 10.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 1.5% |
| Maddie Janzen | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 4.3% |
| Meara Conley | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 1.3% |
| Emily Gaillard | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 2.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Ella Towner | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 27.1% | 20.1% |
| Hannah Beaver | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 14.4% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.