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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.50+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.80+6.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+6.21vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.57+1.83vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.84-0.09vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.86+2.17vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.42-0.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+2.51vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-2.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-0.85vs Predicted
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11Boston College0.16-0.56vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.53+2.50vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.53-3.85vs Predicted
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14Harvard University1.69-8.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.61-3.22vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University0.37-7.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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8.17University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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5.83Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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4.91Tufts University1.840.2%1st Place
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8.17Tufts University0.860.0%1st Place
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6.31Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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14.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.530.0%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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12.78Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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9.82Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavia Smith | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Meara Conley | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Maddie Janzen | 15.1% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Leila Pfrang | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 11.8% | 5.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ella Demand | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Beaver | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 59.9% |
| Ella Towner | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 29.8% | 19.3% |
| Emily Gaillard | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.