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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+3.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.69+3.41vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+6.36vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+2.43vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.50+1.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.42+0.45vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.39-0.48vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+1.44vs Predicted
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10Boston College0.16+0.79vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.80-2.35vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.37-1.96vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-2.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.36-3.94vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.53-5.63vs Predicted
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16Tufts University0.86-7.58vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.61-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Tufts University1.840.2%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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6.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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6.08Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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6.45Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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6.52Dartmouth College1.390.1%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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10.79Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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8.65University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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10.04Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.360.0%1st Place
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9.37University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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8.42Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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13.2Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Janzen | 15.5% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Ella Demand | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.4% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Leila Pfrang | 8.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte West | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Meara Conley | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Emily Gaillard | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 15.0% |
| Kaitlyn Beaver | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.3% |
| Ella Towner | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 18.2% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.