Race 10A

maisa-spring-women-fleet-race

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Heather Kerns 7.8% 9.7% 10.2% 10.0% 9.7% 10.8% 8.6% 8.2% 9.5% 7.1% 4.7% 2.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Eva Blauvelt 15.4% 14.1% 13.3% 13.4% 11.2% 10.0% 8.7% 6.3% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Avery Canavan 5.1% 6.3% 6.1% 6.3% 7.8% 8.0% 9.6% 9.7% 10.6% 10.0% 9.2% 6.8% 3.6% 0.9%
Bridget Green 23.5% 20.5% 14.6% 13.9% 10.1% 7.8% 4.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Annika VanderHorst 3.0% 2.5% 3.5% 4.3% 6.2% 6.2% 7.2% 8.5% 9.3% 9.2% 13.2% 13.1% 9.4% 4.3%
Elizabeth Cutler 3.8% 4.0% 5.4% 5.8% 5.9% 7.6% 9.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.9% 11.1% 9.0% 5.8% 1.6%
Piper Holthus 16.6% 15.2% 16.0% 13.5% 11.7% 8.1% 7.1% 5.4% 3.5% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Kennedy Jones 1.7% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.5% 5.5% 6.8% 6.7% 10.8% 10.0% 17.9% 15.8% 9.6%
Cho-Cho Williams 4.2% 4.7% 5.0% 6.3% 6.0% 8.0% 8.8% 9.8% 11.0% 9.8% 10.5% 8.3% 5.9% 1.6%
Torrey Chisari 11.2% 11.1% 12.2% 10.2% 12.6% 11.5% 9.8% 7.3% 6.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Carly Mraz 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.8% 4.9% 4.5% 5.8% 8.1% 13.8% 24.2% 26.0%
Elizabeth Gildea 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.7% 6.5% 7.8% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 11.9% 11.1% 7.6% 4.0% 1.5%
Eva Leggett 0.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.6% 1.1% 1.3% 2.1% 3.3% 4.2% 4.5% 8.2% 20.8% 50.7%
Grace Watlington 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 7.1% 8.8% 10.5% 11.2% 13.0% 11.1% 9.2% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.