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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+8.78vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.73+9.08vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+6.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University4.71+2.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+4.40vs Predicted
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6Stanford University4.19+2.96vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+0.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+6.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.19-0.25vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.49+2.18vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-0.56vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-0.94vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-2.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University3.36-1.29vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.06-5.47vs Predicted
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16Harvard University4.36-7.91vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-7.24vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.90-3.18vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-7.51vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.34-6.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.78Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.6Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.83Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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14.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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8.75Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.18University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.44Boston College3.880.1%1st Place
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11.06Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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10.16Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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9.53Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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14.82Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Olin Davis | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| William Haeger | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Kieran Chung | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Blouin | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 15.1% | 23.2% |
| Joseph Morris | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Will Stocke | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% |
| Alex Cook | 5.5% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Kopp | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 23.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.