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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+3.66vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.57+3.53vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.50+2.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.69+1.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+4.11vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57+3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.80+1.28vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.53+0.95vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12+1.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.42-3.89vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89-3.11vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.16-1.65vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University0.37-3.44vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.90-6.30vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.61-3.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.53-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.66Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.77Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.33Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.0%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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8.28University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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10.43Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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6.11Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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7.89Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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10.35Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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7.7Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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12.73Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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14.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Janzen | 14.2% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 11.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 13.1% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 1.4% |
| Ella Demand | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ella Towner | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 4.9% |
| Leila Pfrang | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Emily Gaillard | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 26.6% | 19.8% |
| Hannah Beaver | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 60.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.