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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+3.64vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.89+5.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.53+6.05vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.50+1.94vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.57+0.62vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.69-0.70vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.53+2.16vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.37+1.56vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.61+2.57vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.90-3.14vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.16-1.67vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.80-4.85vs Predicted
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14Brown University1.42-8.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.57-6.18vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University0.12-5.38vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.53-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.64Tufts University1.840.2%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.890.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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5.94Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.62Dartmouth College1.570.1%1st Place
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5.3Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.530.1%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University0.370.0%1st Place
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12.57Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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7.86Tufts University0.900.1%1st Place
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10.33Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Rhode Island0.800.1%1st Place
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5.98Brown University1.420.1%1st Place
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8.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.570.0%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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14.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Janzen | 16.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Woodbury | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ella Towner | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 2.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alders Kulynych-Irvin | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meara Conley | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 2.0% |
| Emily Gaillard | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 25.0% | 18.7% |
| Kiana Beachy | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 3.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Leila Pfrang | 10.5% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Ella Demand | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 11.9% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Beaver | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 13.0% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.