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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.10vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.82+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.05vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.36vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+1.72vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.08-0.53vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-2.06vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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2.47Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.36Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.72Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.47Fordham University-0.080.1%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.89SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deana Fedulova | 20.3% | 22.1% | 19.3% | 17.4% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 31.3% | 26.8% | 20.4% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 21.7% | 19.9% | 22.4% | 16.6% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 18.4% | 17.6% | 9.3% | 4.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 21.4% | 48.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.4% | 22.0% | 15.1% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 8.3% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 13.6% | 19.5% | 23.8% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.