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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.99vs Predicted
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2Columbia University0.63+2.34vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.82-0.54vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.84vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.08vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.37-0.04vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.08-1.49vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.92-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.99University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.34Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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2.46Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.16Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.96SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.64Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 21.1% | 23.0% | 21.9% | 15.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 9.0% | 10.8% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 18.6% | 15.5% | 9.9% | 4.6% |
| Gilda Dondona | 33.9% | 24.1% | 19.3% | 11.6% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 19.4% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 20.5% | 16.1% | 7.6% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 25.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 16.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 23.2% | 43.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.