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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.97vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.82+0.49vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.87vs Predicted
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4Fordham University-0.08+1.53vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.80vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.63-1.69vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-0.26vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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2.49Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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5.53Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.31Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.74Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.9SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 23.1% | 20.9% | 22.2% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Gilda Dondona | 31.9% | 26.1% | 18.8% | 12.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 16.8% | 7.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 19.1% | 22.7% | 15.7% |
| Deana Fedulova | 18.4% | 21.5% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.1% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 9.4% | 4.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 11.3% | 19.3% | 50.2% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 18.4% | 25.6% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.