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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+1.46vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.09vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+1.89vs Predicted
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4Columbia University0.63+0.31vs Predicted
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5Fordham University-0.08+0.47vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-0.92+0.70vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.37-1.03vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-4.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.09University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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4.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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4.31Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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5.47Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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3.11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 32.3% | 26.7% | 18.8% | 12.4% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Adra Ivancich | 20.7% | 20.2% | 21.0% | 17.7% | 11.1% | 6.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 19.0% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 8.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 9.3% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 13.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 47.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 16.8% | 26.2% | 24.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 21.1% | 20.3% | 19.8% | 17.7% | 11.4% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.