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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.00vs Predicted
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2Fordham University-0.08+3.51vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.37+2.89vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.90vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.83vs Predicted
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6Cornell University1.82-3.54vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.63-2.61vs Predicted
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8Princeton University-0.92-1.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.51Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.89SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
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4.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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2.46Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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4.39Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.7Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adra Ivancich | 23.3% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 20.9% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 24.4% | 25.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.9% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 21.3% | 15.9% | 7.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 17.6% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Gilda Dondona | 31.7% | 26.9% | 19.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 13.1% | 21.9% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.