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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.05vs Predicted
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3Fordham University-0.08+2.46vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.93vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.80vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.63-1.69vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.92-0.28vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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5.46Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.31Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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6.72Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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5.88SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 34.2% | 24.8% | 18.9% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Adra Ivancich | 21.5% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 17.3% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 20.6% | 22.0% | 15.3% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 18.3% | 7.3% |
| Deana Fedulova | 18.5% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 17.9% | 12.6% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 9.3% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 9.9% | 4.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 18.6% | 50.4% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 25.0% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.