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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University1.82+1.42vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.41+1.06vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+0.92vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.92+1.73vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.63-1.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.08-1.45vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.42Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
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3.06University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
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3.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
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4.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
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6.73Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
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4.28Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
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5.55Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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5.87SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilda Dondona | 34.1% | 25.2% | 18.7% | 12.6% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 21.1% | 21.9% | 19.5% | 16.9% | 11.3% | 6.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 19.4% | 20.1% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 6.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 17.7% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 8.5% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 20.6% | 48.3% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 10.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 17.2% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 4.1% |
| Anna Robertson | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 19.1% | 24.0% | 15.5% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 23.7% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.