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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin4.10+8.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+7.40vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+6.65vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.91vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.49+2.50vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.88+4.39vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+4.15vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University4.71-1.50vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.36-1.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.34+2.92vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-1.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.63-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.81+2.36vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-2.92vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.98-5.17vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.36-3.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-4.97vs Predicted
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18Stanford University4.19-9.01vs Predicted
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19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.96-9.11vs Predicted
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20Bowdoin College2.90-5.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.29University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.4Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.65Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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8.91Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.490.1%1st Place
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10.39Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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11.15Connecticut College3.780.0%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.97Harvard University4.360.1%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Naval Academy3.340.0%1st Place
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9.83Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.630.0%1st Place
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15.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.810.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Vermont3.730.0%1st Place
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9.83Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.66Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.99Stanford University4.190.0%1st Place
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9.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.960.1%1st Place
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14.87Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| William Haeger | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Sam Williams | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Morris | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Blouin | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Cook | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% |
| Kevin Martland | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 11.3% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Kopp | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Devin Laviano | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 8.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Eamon Glackin | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Bradley Milliken | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 26.6% |
| Olin Davis | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Colin Smith | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 8.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Victor Diaz De Leon | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Peter Edmunds | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.