← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.86vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.82+0.48vs Predicted
-
3University of Pennsylvania1.41+0.05vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-0.80vs Predicted
-
5Columbia University0.63-0.69vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University-0.08-0.50vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.92-0.27vs Predicted
-
8SUNY Maritime College-0.37-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.290.1%1st Place
-
2.48Cornell University1.820.3%1st Place
-
3.05University of Pennsylvania1.410.2%1st Place
-
3.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.2%1st Place
-
4.31Columbia University0.630.1%1st Place
-
5.5Fordham University-0.080.1%1st Place
-
6.73Princeton University-0.920.0%1st Place
-
5.87SUNY Maritime College-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annika VanderHorst | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 15.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 7.5% |
| Gilda Dondona | 32.8% | 24.7% | 18.8% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 21.1% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Deana Fedulova | 19.2% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 16.5% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 17.3% | 16.9% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 3.2% |
| Anna Robertson | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 14.5% | 19.8% | 21.2% | 15.9% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 19.2% | 50.9% |
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 12.2% | 21.0% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.