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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.74+2.68vs Predicted
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2Harvard University-0.07+6.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.21+1.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.10+3.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.49-0.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.97-0.59vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.14-2.05vs Predicted
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8Tufts University0.93-2.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.49-4.83vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.97-4.59vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.60-4.81vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.14-7.05vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.06-3.05vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.28-6.70vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.21-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.68Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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8.05Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.84Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.17Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.41Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.41Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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4.95Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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9.95University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.3University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.34University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devon Owen | 20.6% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Straw | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.3% | 13.7% | 8.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter McFarland | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.2% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.9% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.2% | 16.5% | 15.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 26.6% | 34.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 10.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 23.2% | 44.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.