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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.21+3.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+1.63vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.14+2.01vs Predicted
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4Harvard University0.60+2.41vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.97+0.40vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.93-0.44vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.14-1.99vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.28-0.94vs Predicted
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9Harvard University-0.07-1.06vs Predicted
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10Brown University1.49-5.98vs Predicted
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11Harvard University0.10-3.44vs Predicted
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12Brown University1.49-7.98vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.21-2.65vs Predicted
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14Brown University0.97-8.60vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.06-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.92Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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3.63Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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5.01Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.4Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.01Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.06University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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4.02Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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7.56Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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4.02Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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10.35University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.4Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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10.14University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter McFarland | 12.3% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 19.7% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 12.6% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Straw | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 6.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.0% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 24.8% | 43.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 24.6% | 38.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.