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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.21+3.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.97+3.43vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.74+0.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.14+0.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.49-0.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.14-1.01vs Predicted
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7Brown University1.49-2.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University0.60-1.60vs Predicted
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9Tufts University0.93-3.54vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.07-2.07vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.21-0.70vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.10-4.51vs Predicted
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13Brown University0.97-7.57vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.28-6.68vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-1.06-4.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.43Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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3.56Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.17Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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6.4Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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5.46Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.3University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.49Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.43Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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7.32University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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10.08University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter McFarland | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 21.6% | 18.7% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 10.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 16.2% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Straw | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 23.1% | 41.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 5.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 27.3% | 36.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.