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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.14+4.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.74+1.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.21+1.83vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.93+1.50vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.14+0.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.49-1.81vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.60-0.63vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.28-0.95vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.49-4.81vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.97-4.72vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-1.21-0.69vs Predicted
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12Harvard University-0.07-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.06-2.81vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.10-6.34vs Predicted
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15Brown University0.97-9.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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3.61Tufts University1.740.2%1st Place
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4.83Tufts University1.210.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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5.08Brown University1.140.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University0.600.1%1st Place
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7.05University of New Hampshire0.280.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University1.490.2%1st Place
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5.28Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
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10.31University of New Hampshire-1.210.0%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University-0.070.0%1st Place
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10.19University of New Hampshire-1.060.0%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University0.100.0%1st Place
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5.28Brown University0.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Collins | 11.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Devon Owen | 19.3% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter McFarland | 12.4% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Collins | 11.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Theresa Straw | 5.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marykate Hanus | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 15.3% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Peterson | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 24.5% | 40.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Straw | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 15.6% | 6.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Cataldo | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 23.2% | 41.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Baker | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.