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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.37+1.06vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.21+0.18vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46-0.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.36vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.11-0.26vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-3.08-0.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06SUNY Maritime College0.370.4%1st Place
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2.18Hamilton College0.210.4%1st Place
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2.88Columbia University-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.64U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.74SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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5.5U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 37.6% | 31.7% | 20.2% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Alan Becker | 35.9% | 28.5% | 21.6% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 16.5% | 20.3% | 30.6% | 24.8% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.5% | 12.0% | 19.1% | 36.0% | 21.4% | 4.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 1.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 15.0% | 44.2% | 26.7% |
| Sarra Salah | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 22.6% | 67.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.