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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College0.21+1.34vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.15vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.46+0.20vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+1.39vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.89vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology-1.50-1.42vs Predicted
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7U. S. Military Academy-3.08-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Hamilton College0.210.3%1st Place
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2.15SUNY Maritime College0.370.4%1st Place
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3.2Columbia University-0.460.1%1st Place
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5.39SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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4.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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4.58Stevens Institute of Technology-1.500.1%1st Place
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6.23U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 33.1% | 27.5% | 20.4% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 37.2% | 30.0% | 19.2% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase O'Malley | 14.2% | 20.1% | 24.7% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Sophia Dimont | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 19.4% | 36.0% | 22.0% |
| Griffin Jones | 7.3% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 22.0% | 24.8% | 14.0% | 5.6% |
| Oscar McMahan | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.3% | 19.2% | 24.4% | 25.8% | 7.5% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 17.0% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.