← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hamilton College0.21+1.25vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.07vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+1.94vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-0.20vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology-3.15+1.07vs Predicted
-
6Columbia University-0.46-3.01vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-3.08-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.25Hamilton College0.210.3%1st Place
-
2.07SUNY Maritime College0.370.4%1st Place
-
4.94SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
-
3.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
-
6.07Stevens Institute of Technology-3.150.0%1st Place
-
2.99Columbia University-0.460.2%1st Place
-
5.88U. S. Military Academy-3.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Becker | 32.8% | 30.8% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 37.7% | 32.0% | 19.1% | 8.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 13.9% | 34.1% | 25.8% | 11.5% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.2% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 31.3% | 23.6% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Tristan Feves | 0.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 12.4% | 30.4% | 47.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 16.3% | 18.8% | 30.0% | 22.7% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Sarra Salah | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 31.5% | 39.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.