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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+3.23vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College0.37-0.34vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy-2.20+1.30vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46-1.61vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13-1.80vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-3.05-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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1.66SUNY Maritime College0.370.5%1st Place
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4.3U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
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2.39Columbia University-0.460.2%1st Place
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3.2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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5.23Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Dimont | 4.0% | 7.7% | 14.6% | 26.2% | 30.3% | 17.2% |
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 54.5% | 31.0% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Brearley | 4.5% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 25.4% | 30.9% | 19.5% |
| Chase O'Malley | 23.3% | 34.6% | 26.6% | 11.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Griffin Jones | 12.0% | 18.4% | 29.2% | 23.2% | 12.7% | 4.5% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.7% | 1.8% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 22.1% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.