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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.37+0.67vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-2.11+2.23vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.13+0.10vs Predicted
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4Columbia University-0.46-1.62vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College-3.05+0.25vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.20-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.67SUNY Maritime College0.370.6%1st Place
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4.23SUNY Stony Brook-2.110.0%1st Place
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3.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.130.1%1st Place
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2.38Columbia University-0.460.2%1st Place
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5.25Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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4.38U. S. Military Academy-2.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 55.0% | 28.6% | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Dimont | 3.4% | 8.2% | 14.7% | 26.2% | 30.2% | 17.3% |
| Griffin Jones | 12.7% | 19.9% | 28.9% | 24.4% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Chase O'Malley | 24.0% | 34.0% | 26.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Reid Chapman | 1.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 11.1% | 20.2% | 59.8% |
| Thomas Brearley | 3.7% | 5.7% | 14.3% | 21.9% | 34.5% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.