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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+8.83vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.95+5.91vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.10vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.03vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.80+3.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.15vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.63+2.01vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80+0.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.89+3.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-1.02vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-2.87vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-4.40vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.36-2.57vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.67-4.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.22vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.14-4.60vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.09vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.54-4.06vs Predicted
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20Brown University4.30-12.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.83Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.03U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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9.35Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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13.69Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.98Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.13Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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15.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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12.4University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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11.91Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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14.94Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.28Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| William Macdonald | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Michael Grove | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Hans Henken | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| William Bailey | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 15.6% | 31.9% |
| David Harrison | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 15.2% | 23.2% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.