← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University-0.69+1.19vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.03vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College-1.03-0.46vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-2.39+0.33vs Predicted
-
5Hamilton College-2.03-1.04vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Military Academy-2.94-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19Columbia University-0.690.4%1st Place
-
3.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.2%1st Place
-
2.54SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
-
4.33SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
-
3.96Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
-
4.96U. S. Military Academy-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 36.5% | 30.0% | 18.6% | 9.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 18.8% | 21.1% | 22.3% | 19.3% | 13.5% | 5.0% |
| Andrew Embry | 27.0% | 26.2% | 22.7% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 7.2% | 6.6% | 12.2% | 19.7% | 29.0% | 25.3% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 7.8% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 23.4% | 22.5% | 18.2% |
| Justin McDaniel | 2.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 24.2% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.