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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.69+1.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+1.26vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-2.39+1.76vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-1.03-1.27vs Predicted
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5U. S. Military Academy-2.94+0.51vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-2.03-1.80vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology-2.82-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Columbia University-0.690.4%1st Place
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3.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.1%1st Place
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4.76SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
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2.73SUNY Maritime College-1.030.2%1st Place
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5.51U. S. Military Academy-2.940.0%1st Place
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4.2Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
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5.24Stevens Institute of Technology-2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 37.6% | 25.5% | 17.8% | 11.0% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 14.5% | 21.4% | 22.7% | 18.5% | 12.8% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 21.0% | 18.8% |
| Andrew Embry | 24.9% | 25.1% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 10.4% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Justin McDaniel | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 24.0% | 37.7% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 18.4% | 20.5% | 16.0% | 10.3% |
| Luke Saletta | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 15.8% | 26.3% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.