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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hamilton College-2.03+2.86vs Predicted
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2Columbia University-0.69+0.17vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+0.02vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College-1.03-1.44vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.39-0.59vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.94-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
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2.17Columbia University-0.690.4%1st Place
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3.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.2%1st Place
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2.56SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
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4.41SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
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4.99U. S. Military Academy-2.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Jiganti | 9.8% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 22.8% | 24.7% | 15.0% |
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 37.1% | 30.1% | 17.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 18.4% | 20.2% | 23.2% | 21.7% | 12.6% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Embry | 25.4% | 27.3% | 23.4% | 15.9% | 6.2% | 1.8% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 6.5% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 19.7% | 27.2% | 28.7% |
| Justin McDaniel | 2.8% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 24.0% | 50.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.