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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Columbia University-0.69+1.19vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-1.03+0.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.42+0.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy-2.94+0.94vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-2.39-0.60vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College-2.03-2.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Columbia University-0.690.4%1st Place
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2.55SUNY Maritime College-1.030.3%1st Place
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3.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-1.420.2%1st Place
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4.94U. S. Military Academy-2.940.0%1st Place
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4.4SUNY Stony Brook-2.390.1%1st Place
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3.87Hamilton College-2.030.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sau Hang Ching | 36.0% | 30.0% | 20.0% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Embry | 29.2% | 24.4% | 20.4% | 16.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Matthew McCarvill | 17.0% | 19.9% | 23.9% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 3.4% |
| Justin McDaniel | 3.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 13.1% | 22.1% | 49.7% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 5.2% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 29.0% | 27.7% |
| Teddy Jiganti | 9.4% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 21.2% | 24.7% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.