Race 1A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 36.7% 25.0% 14.5% 10.1% 7.1% 3.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Noah Jost 9.1% 8.8% 13.8% 12.3% 11.9% 12.3% 11.9% 9.2% 8.8% 1.9%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.6% 6.2% 7.4% 7.5% 8.6% 11.5% 12.0% 15.8% 17.6% 7.8%
Andrew Simpson 10.6% 13.5% 15.1% 13.2% 14.8% 10.7% 10.3% 6.1% 4.8% 0.9%
Jack Schultz 8.6% 8.8% 8.9% 11.1% 10.9% 12.9% 13.4% 12.1% 8.9% 4.4%
Lyla Solway 12.0% 13.4% 13.5% 15.5% 12.8% 11.1% 9.7% 6.9% 4.2% 0.9%
Adam Nilsson 3.7% 4.7% 5.8% 9.2% 8.9% 10.2% 13.3% 16.5% 17.0% 10.7%
Quinn Healey 7.7% 12.1% 11.4% 10.2% 12.9% 12.5% 12.8% 10.2% 7.8% 2.4%
Anna Horton 4.9% 6.5% 7.4% 9.0% 9.2% 11.0% 10.9% 15.2% 17.5% 8.4%
Brady Mayer 1.1% 1.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.9% 4.2% 4.1% 7.2% 12.9% 62.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.