Race 2A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 36.3% 25.3% 14.7% 9.8% 6.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.3%
Quinn Healey 8.9% 8.3% 12.1% 11.6% 11.8% 13.9% 13.3% 8.8% 8.8% 2.5%
Adam Nilsson 4.0% 5.8% 6.9% 5.4% 9.0% 9.3% 12.1% 15.8% 22.3% 9.4%
Andrew Simpson 10.2% 13.3% 14.4% 15.3% 13.7% 10.8% 8.7% 8.4% 4.5% 0.7%
Lyla Solway 13.8% 11.7% 14.0% 14.0% 13.8% 12.4% 8.8% 6.3% 4.2% 1.0%
Anna Horton 5.7% 6.7% 7.3% 7.4% 9.3% 11.7% 12.6% 15.8% 15.6% 7.9%
Brady Mayer 0.8% 1.3% 1.3% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 5.4% 6.2% 13.3% 63.8%
Jack Schultz 6.5% 9.7% 11.6% 10.7% 11.7% 13.4% 11.8% 12.1% 8.6% 3.9%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.4% 6.6% 6.8% 10.8% 8.6% 10.0% 12.8% 15.6% 15.3% 8.1%
Noah Jost 8.4% 11.3% 10.9% 12.8% 12.6% 11.6% 12.7% 10.1% 7.2% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.