Race 3A

saisa-north-fall-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ian Richardson 36.6% 25.4% 15.1% 9.1% 6.7% 4.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Andrew Simpson 11.2% 12.3% 13.9% 16.3% 12.4% 10.6% 9.9% 7.3% 5.1% 1.0%
Jack Schultz 7.3% 8.7% 10.7% 8.2% 9.9% 13.5% 14.4% 13.2% 9.9% 4.2%
Quinn Healey 7.4% 10.2% 11.5% 12.9% 11.1% 14.9% 10.2% 11.1% 8.4% 2.3%
Lyla Solway 12.4% 13.2% 13.6% 15.0% 14.4% 9.7% 10.3% 6.0% 4.0% 1.4%
Noah Jost 10.2% 11.0% 10.7% 11.9% 13.8% 11.4% 9.9% 10.3% 7.8% 3.0%
Anna Horton 4.5% 5.3% 7.6% 9.6% 8.2% 11.9% 14.4% 14.7% 16.1% 7.7%
Francis "Mac" Humphrey 5.0% 7.0% 8.8% 7.8% 10.5% 10.0% 13.7% 13.8% 16.2% 7.2%
Adam Nilsson 4.2% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 10.3% 9.9% 11.3% 15.2% 20.3% 10.0%
Brady Mayer 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 2.6% 2.7% 3.6% 4.5% 7.6% 11.8% 63.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.