← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University0.65+0.91vs Predicted
-
2University of North Carolina-0.20+0.92vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.00+3.01vs Predicted
-
4Clemson University-0.82-0.17vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-1.20-0.61vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University-1.64-0.77vs Predicted
-
7Clemson University-2.36-0.42vs Predicted
-
8Vanderbilt University-2.72-0.80vs Predicted
-
9Wake Forest University-3.30-0.86vs Predicted
-
10University of Tennessee-3.78-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.91North Carolina State University0.650.5%1st Place
-
2.92University of North Carolina-0.200.2%1st Place
-
6.01University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.000.0%1st Place
-
3.83Clemson University-0.820.1%1st Place
-
4.39University of North Carolina-1.200.1%1st Place
-
5.23North Carolina State University-1.640.1%1st Place
-
6.58Clemson University-2.360.0%1st Place
-
7.2Vanderbilt University-2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.14Wake Forest University-3.300.0%1st Place
-
8.79University of Tennessee-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Burdette | 49.3% | 26.6% | 13.5% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hale | 19.6% | 26.3% | 22.5% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abbi Barnette | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 2.3% |
| William Avery | 8.7% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 19.6% | 17.5% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Emma Gumny | 8.6% | 10.3% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Liam Holder | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 18.3% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Bonnie O'Flaherty | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 13.9% | 5.1% |
| Pablo Ginorio | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 20.9% | 12.3% |
| Charles Palmer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 27.3% | 28.4% |
| Luke Russell | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 20.9% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.