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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+8.07vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.95+6.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.67+7.14vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.26vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin3.36+6.41vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+2.93vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.89+6.98vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.92+0.66vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.80+0.39vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.14+2.56vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.70-1.04vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.79vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.57vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.71-4.22vs Predicted
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15Brown University4.30-7.74vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-1.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-1.25vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.30-6.12vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.80-9.67vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont3.63-9.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.72Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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13.98Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.66Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.39Stanford University3.800.0%1st Place
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12.56University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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9.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.43U. S. Naval Academy3.670.0%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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7.26Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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14.95Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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9.33Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.35University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| William Macdonald | 7.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 14.7% |
| William Bailey | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Hans Henken | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| David Harrison | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% |
| Massimo Soriano | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Michael Grove | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 23.5% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 29.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.