Race 3B

saisa-north-fall-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Olivia Burdette 48.6% 28.5% 12.2% 6.9% 2.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Gumny 8.1% 9.3% 15.7% 17.2% 19.4% 14.4% 8.0% 6.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Kathleen Hale 19.2% 26.8% 23.2% 15.3% 9.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Abbi Barnette 2.6% 4.6% 7.3% 10.5% 13.8% 17.8% 18.1% 14.1% 8.4% 2.8%
William Avery 11.0% 16.0% 19.8% 19.5% 16.7% 8.5% 5.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Liam Holder 5.6% 8.3% 9.2% 13.8% 15.2% 16.8% 15.3% 10.2% 4.8% 0.8%
Pablo Ginorio 1.4% 1.5% 3.7% 4.7% 7.3% 10.6% 16.5% 22.4% 20.3% 11.6%
Charles Palmer 1.0% 0.9% 2.2% 3.3% 4.4% 6.9% 10.8% 14.2% 27.7% 28.6%
Bonnie O'Flaherty 2.1% 3.2% 6.0% 6.7% 9.3% 14.6% 18.2% 18.9% 15.5% 5.5%
Luke Russell 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 2.1% 2.3% 4.8% 6.3% 11.2% 21.1% 50.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.