Race 1A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Teo 16.9% 17.0% 16.0% 11.5% 11.1% 7.0% 7.5% 4.4% 4.1% 2.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 6.2% 8.3% 8.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.1% 10.7% 8.3% 10.3% 8.1% 7.0% 4.1% 2.5% 1.0%
Lucca Antonietti 22.4% 17.3% 13.5% 13.9% 10.1% 9.0% 5.5% 4.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 7.4% 9.5% 8.2% 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 10.0% 8.2% 8.6% 6.9% 5.4% 2.9% 1.9% 0.5%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 4.6% 5.9% 6.9% 7.2% 8.7% 10.2% 7.6% 9.7% 9.5% 8.4% 9.8% 6.8% 2.9% 1.8%
Kevin McNeill 1.6% 2.6% 2.0% 2.5% 3.4% 3.0% 3.7% 6.0% 6.3% 9.5% 9.1% 14.6% 16.3% 19.4%
Matteo Asscher 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.7% 7.2% 8.9% 9.7% 9.0% 8.1% 10.5% 8.2% 6.0% 3.5% 1.7%
Will Eggena 4.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.2% 6.2% 7.0% 8.1% 7.7% 9.6% 10.0% 9.9% 8.4% 8.4% 4.1%
Ethan Burt 13.4% 13.3% 13.6% 11.7% 12.4% 9.9% 7.7% 6.7% 4.9% 3.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Simone Ford 2.8% 2.3% 2.9% 3.8% 3.4% 6.4% 6.7% 7.8% 7.6% 9.7% 12.2% 13.2% 11.7% 9.5%
Caeden Nodurft 8.1% 6.8% 7.8% 10.3% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.5% 8.5% 7.2% 5.9% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5%
Ian Peterson 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 8.8% 10.1% 20.2% 34.2%
Amanda Yolles 3.2% 2.9% 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6% 5.1% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 11.1% 12.9% 10.8% 8.0%
Wilfred Hynes 1.9% 1.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.2% 3.0% 5.4% 5.4% 7.0% 6.5% 9.1% 14.7% 19.1% 19.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.