Race 2A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Shea McGrath 6.8% 5.7% 7.8% 10.8% 8.5% 7.7% 9.8% 9.0% 10.9% 7.4% 5.7% 5.0% 3.3% 1.6%
Will Eggena 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 6.1% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.6% 9.9% 9.6% 11.0% 9.7% 5.9% 3.0%
Caeden Nodurft 7.6% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.3% 8.6% 9.3% 10.2% 7.1% 6.7% 3.1% 2.4% 0.5%
Lucca Antonietti 20.1% 19.2% 14.5% 13.9% 8.7% 8.2% 6.7% 3.8% 2.7% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 6.6% 9.3% 9.8% 9.0% 10.9% 9.3% 10.8% 7.3% 8.1% 7.0% 5.7% 4.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Ethan Burt 14.8% 11.4% 14.1% 11.7% 10.4% 10.6% 8.6% 7.0% 4.4% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Kevin McNeill 2.1% 1.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 4.9% 5.2% 6.4% 7.7% 9.9% 13.7% 16.0% 16.9%
Matteo Asscher 6.2% 6.8% 6.1% 5.9% 7.7% 7.6% 9.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.5% 8.4% 7.2% 5.2% 1.9%
Amanda Yolles 3.7% 3.2% 2.7% 3.0% 4.6% 5.4% 5.8% 7.4% 7.5% 11.8% 12.0% 12.6% 11.7% 8.6%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 5.8% 5.4% 6.4% 8.0% 7.9% 9.2% 8.8% 9.7% 9.9% 8.9% 8.8% 5.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Simone Ford 2.8% 3.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 5.6% 6.6% 8.5% 7.5% 10.2% 10.3% 12.7% 12.7% 9.9%
Max Teo 15.8% 16.6% 15.2% 12.0% 13.1% 8.5% 6.1% 5.3% 3.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Wilfred Hynes 2.2% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.0% 3.4% 3.6% 4.6% 5.8% 7.9% 11.2% 12.7% 19.1% 20.3%
Ian Peterson 1.0% 1.5% 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 2.9% 3.0% 3.5% 4.4% 7.7% 6.8% 11.5% 17.7% 35.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.