Race 4A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Teo 16.3% 19.6% 14.7% 10.7% 10.0% 9.8% 6.0% 4.7% 3.4% 2.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucca Antonietti 21.4% 18.9% 15.2% 13.1% 12.6% 6.1% 5.0% 3.4% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.2%
Matteo Asscher 5.4% 5.5% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 7.5% 8.6% 8.5% 11.2% 10.4% 7.8% 6.0% 4.7% 1.8%
Amanda Yolles 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 4.7% 4.8% 6.8% 6.5% 8.8% 10.4% 10.4% 13.7% 11.3% 8.5%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 9.1% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 8.4% 8.6% 5.9% 4.4% 1.8%
Noah Reischmann 7.9% 7.4% 9.0% 10.2% 10.2% 9.9% 10.2% 8.9% 7.3% 7.2% 5.4% 4.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Wilfred Hynes 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 2.6% 2.7% 4.3% 5.5% 4.8% 6.1% 6.3% 11.1% 11.7% 17.3% 20.8%
Ethan Burt 14.9% 13.2% 14.3% 11.1% 10.8% 9.4% 7.3% 6.9% 5.9% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Shea McGrath 6.3% 6.3% 6.6% 8.1% 7.7% 10.1% 9.8% 10.8% 8.6% 9.4% 6.3% 5.0% 4.0% 1.0%
Caeden Nodurft 6.8% 7.6% 8.8% 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.3% 9.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.3% 4.0% 1.4% 0.9%
Kevin McNeill 1.6% 2.5% 1.7% 2.3% 2.3% 4.5% 4.9% 5.8% 7.0% 7.5% 11.0% 12.5% 18.3% 18.1%
Will Eggena 4.4% 3.8% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.8% 9.4% 7.8% 7.1% 4.7%
Ian Peterson 1.9% 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 2.7% 3.5% 3.1% 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 13.2% 17.1% 34.9%
Simone Ford 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 6.4% 5.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.2% 10.4% 11.7% 13.3% 12.8% 6.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.