Race 5A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Teo 17.7% 16.1% 14.3% 13.6% 10.1% 8.0% 7.2% 4.6% 3.2% 2.7% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 14.7% 14.9% 14.3% 11.3% 12.0% 9.8% 7.4% 6.6% 3.9% 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Shea McGrath 6.7% 6.4% 9.0% 7.5% 9.1% 5.8% 10.9% 9.0% 10.5% 10.0% 6.1% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9%
Caeden Nodurft 6.2% 8.3% 9.3% 10.2% 9.5% 10.8% 8.0% 9.8% 8.0% 6.7% 6.5% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5%
Will Eggena 3.3% 4.0% 5.6% 5.1% 6.6% 7.2% 9.4% 7.4% 9.9% 9.7% 10.7% 9.6% 7.4% 4.1%
Lucca Antonietti 19.6% 17.0% 15.3% 13.4% 10.5% 8.7% 5.9% 3.5% 3.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 6.6% 8.8% 5.8% 7.9% 8.4% 7.8% 10.3% 10.0% 8.1% 8.7% 7.7% 5.5% 3.7% 0.7%
Matteo Asscher 6.1% 5.6% 7.5% 7.3% 6.8% 9.7% 7.4% 9.2% 9.8% 6.9% 9.1% 8.4% 4.1% 2.1%
Noah Reischmann 8.3% 8.1% 7.4% 9.7% 10.9% 10.9% 9.4% 9.7% 7.9% 6.7% 5.4% 2.7% 2.5% 0.4%
Wilfred Hynes 2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 1.7% 3.3% 4.1% 6.3% 6.5% 8.5% 9.3% 13.0% 17.9% 22.2%
Amanda Yolles 2.4% 3.3% 2.4% 4.0% 4.5% 7.2% 5.7% 8.9% 6.1% 9.9% 13.1% 12.1% 11.9% 8.5%
Simone Ford 2.7% 2.5% 3.4% 4.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.1% 7.3% 9.5% 10.7% 11.3% 12.4% 10.3% 10.4%
Kevin McNeill 2.7% 2.2% 2.1% 2.4% 3.9% 3.1% 5.2% 3.6% 8.5% 9.1% 9.6% 14.4% 17.1% 16.1%
Ian Peterson 1.0% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 1.8% 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 4.9% 6.6% 7.2% 10.3% 19.8% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.