Race 6A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Max Teo 16.3% 18.4% 15.5% 12.2% 10.0% 7.3% 7.3% 5.7% 3.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Lucca Antonietti 22.0% 18.9% 14.6% 13.6% 11.1% 7.9% 4.0% 3.8% 2.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Ethan Burt 14.8% 13.4% 14.4% 11.3% 11.1% 8.5% 9.2% 6.6% 4.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kevin McNeill 1.5% 1.9% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 4.9% 4.8% 5.6% 6.2% 7.6% 9.3% 14.9% 16.7% 17.8%
Noah Reischmann 6.8% 8.7% 9.1% 8.9% 10.9% 10.8% 9.1% 8.7% 9.7% 6.3% 5.0% 3.5% 1.6% 0.9%
Caeden Nodurft 7.2% 7.6% 8.5% 9.0% 9.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.0% 7.4% 7.8% 6.7% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Amanda Yolles 3.5% 2.6% 4.8% 5.3% 4.7% 5.9% 7.2% 6.6% 8.9% 10.2% 11.0% 11.1% 10.4% 7.8%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 6.3% 6.8% 7.8% 6.6% 7.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.0% 8.2% 10.0% 6.8% 7.0% 4.0% 1.3%
Matteo Asscher 6.1% 4.9% 6.0% 6.1% 7.2% 9.9% 8.6% 11.3% 9.4% 9.6% 9.0% 5.8% 4.6% 1.5%
Will Eggena 4.0% 3.7% 3.7% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 9.1% 8.5% 10.0% 9.7% 10.3% 10.0% 7.6% 4.2%
Shea McGrath 6.1% 6.3% 6.6% 8.7% 9.6% 7.8% 9.9% 9.4% 9.5% 8.2% 7.7% 5.5% 3.3% 1.4%
Wilfred Hynes 1.2% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 2.7% 5.6% 5.5% 8.5% 11.2% 14.4% 16.5% 21.6%
Simone Ford 3.2% 3.7% 2.8% 4.1% 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 6.5% 9.4% 9.9% 12.6% 10.8% 12.5% 8.9%
Ian Peterson 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 2.7% 2.4% 2.0% 2.4% 3.7% 5.9% 5.6% 7.5% 11.0% 19.4% 34.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.