Race 7A

2025-nicholas-barnett

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ethan Burt 13.8% 15.2% 14.2% 11.8% 10.5% 9.8% 6.5% 5.5% 5.9% 3.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Lucca Antonietti 21.6% 18.5% 16.2% 13.1% 10.6% 7.0% 5.5% 3.3% 2.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Max Teo 17.4% 16.6% 13.8% 13.2% 10.0% 9.6% 6.8% 6.1% 3.0% 1.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 4.3% 6.8% 8.2% 7.1% 7.2% 9.4% 10.1% 9.6% 8.3% 10.1% 7.0% 6.4% 4.1% 1.4%
Noah Reischmann 7.2% 7.4% 9.0% 9.6% 11.4% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 8.7% 6.7% 5.2% 3.3% 2.6% 0.6%
Kevin McNeill 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 2.7% 3.9% 3.2% 3.5% 4.9% 6.4% 9.1% 11.1% 14.5% 15.4% 19.2%
Shea McGrath 8.0% 7.7% 7.6% 7.1% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 9.7% 7.6% 8.8% 6.9% 4.6% 2.6% 0.7%
Caeden Nodurft 7.6% 9.3% 9.2% 9.0% 8.7% 9.5% 10.2% 8.5% 7.2% 7.0% 6.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7%
Matteo Asscher 5.8% 3.9% 6.1% 8.3% 7.2% 6.9% 10.3% 11.3% 9.3% 9.7% 10.3% 5.5% 3.7% 1.7%
Simone Ford 2.6% 2.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.5% 6.4% 9.4% 9.3% 11.2% 14.4% 12.1% 8.9%
Amanda Yolles 2.7% 2.9% 2.8% 4.7% 4.7% 6.9% 6.0% 6.5% 8.3% 10.8% 11.7% 10.8% 13.2% 8.0%
Will Eggena 3.9% 3.9% 4.0% 6.6% 6.3% 7.1% 8.2% 10.9% 10.6% 9.1% 8.7% 8.5% 8.0% 4.2%
Wilfred Hynes 2.5% 1.7% 2.2% 1.5% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 6.7% 7.1% 11.0% 14.3% 17.3% 20.1%
Ian Peterson 1.0% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.2% 1.7% 3.6% 3.4% 6.3% 6.1% 6.9% 11.9% 17.8% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.