Race 8A

2025-nicholas-barnett

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Ethan Burt 14.2% 14.2% 14.1% 12.4% 10.5% 9.4% 8.1% 6.1% 4.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.5% 0.3%
Max Teo 18.2% 18.2% 13.0% 12.9% 11.5% 8.4% 7.3% 3.8% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Noah Reischmann 7.9% 9.5% 9.0% 9.8% 8.1% 10.3% 9.5% 9.2% 9.3% 7.4% 5.1% 3.2% 1.5% 0.2%
Shea McGrath 5.5% 5.9% 8.9% 7.7% 8.7% 8.7% 9.9% 8.8% 10.8% 7.4% 8.3% 5.4% 2.4% 1.6%
Caeden Nodurft 6.1% 8.3% 8.0% 10.1% 9.4% 9.5% 10.2% 9.1% 8.5% 7.6% 6.2% 3.9% 2.3% 0.8%
Lucca Antonietti 20.8% 16.7% 15.3% 13.3% 11.4% 7.7% 5.5% 4.2% 2.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Yolles 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 5.2% 5.2% 4.8% 6.1% 7.8% 8.8% 11.1% 9.5% 11.1% 11.8% 7.5%
Will Eggena 5.0% 3.3% 7.5% 4.9% 6.4% 6.1% 7.7% 8.1% 10.2% 9.8% 10.1% 7.9% 9.1% 3.9%
Ian Peterson 1.5% 1.4% 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.5% 3.1% 3.1% 3.7% 5.1% 8.4% 13.3% 17.0% 36.5%
Matteo Asscher 5.3% 5.9% 4.2% 8.0% 8.2% 8.7% 9.4% 8.5% 9.4% 9.8% 9.6% 7.0% 4.4% 1.6%
Kevin McNeill 1.5% 2.4% 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 4.4% 4.3% 6.9% 7.2% 7.6% 10.8% 13.1% 16.6% 18.6%
Bradley Kirkpatrick 5.6% 5.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 9.9% 8.7% 11.0% 9.1% 8.9% 7.1% 6.0% 4.1% 1.5%
Simone Ford 3.4% 3.4% 2.6% 3.3% 5.0% 5.5% 5.6% 7.9% 7.9% 11.2% 11.0% 14.5% 11.2% 7.5%
Wilfred Hynes 1.6% 1.7% 2.5% 1.7% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.5% 5.8% 7.0% 10.2% 13.0% 18.8% 20.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.