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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+2.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.33+1.90vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College-0.54+5.77vs Predicted
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4Boston University-0.22+4.05vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.50-1.32vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College1.12-1.54vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.67-1.45vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-1.25+2.73vs Predicted
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9Boston College0.16-2.07vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-1.41vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.15-3.13vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College-0.57-2.77vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-1.27vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-2.11-1.49vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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3.9Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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8.77Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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8.05Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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3.68Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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4.46Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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10.73Maine Maritime Academy-1.250.0%1st Place
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6.93Boston College0.160.1%1st Place
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8.59Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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9.23Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.51University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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14.13Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 18.2% | 18.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 18.4% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Harrison Stevens | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 18.6% | 18.6% | 17.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 12.5% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 14.5% | 3.9% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.2% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 13.7% | 22.4% | 22.4% | 9.1% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 18.4% | 31.7% | 17.7% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 15.8% | 67.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.