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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.70+8.91vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.84vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+6.04vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+5.10vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.80+4.40vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin3.36+5.63vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.30+5.13vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.14+4.36vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.30-1.96vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-0.59vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.86vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.95-3.00vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-4.38vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.67-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.63-4.78vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.89-2.40vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-8.27vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.71-8.02vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University2.54-4.08vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.91Tufts University3.700.1%1st Place
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8.84St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.4Stanford University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.63University of Wisconsin3.360.0%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University3.300.0%1st Place
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12.36University of South Florida3.140.0%1st Place
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7.04Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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9.41Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.950.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University3.670.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont3.630.0%1st Place
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13.6Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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8.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.98Connecticut College3.710.0%1st Place
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14.92Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massimo Soriano | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Hans Henken | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| George Kutschenreuter | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Scott Hoffmann | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| David Harrison | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Michael Grove | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| William Macdonald | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Emily Lambert | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Michael Zonnenberg | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 12.2% | 12.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 15.6% | 22.3% |
| Dylan Finneran | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 14.6% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.