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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+2.90vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.12+2.36vs Predicted
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3Boston University-0.15+4.77vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.50-0.39vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.33-0.95vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.54+2.96vs Predicted
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7Boston College0.16-0.04vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College-0.57+1.04vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.67-3.47vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-1.45vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-1.25-0.21vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.22-3.79vs Predicted
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13Bates College-3.29+1.24vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-2.43vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-2.11-2.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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4.36Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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7.77Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.61Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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4.05Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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8.96Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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6.96Boston College0.160.1%1st Place
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9.04Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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8.55Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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10.79Maine Maritime Academy-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.21Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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14.24Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
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11.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.46University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 18.0% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 13.5% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Welsh | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 20.7% | 19.3% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 17.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Marco Welch | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 14.3% | 4.8% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 13.9% | 70.2% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.8% | 22.0% | 22.3% | 7.2% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 10.3% | 16.2% | 34.8% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.