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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+2.94vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.50+1.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.12+1.42vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.33+0.02vs Predicted
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5Boston College0.16+2.02vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.67-0.41vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College-0.57+1.91vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.15-0.16vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.22-1.03vs Predicted
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10Bentley University-0.39-1.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62+0.64vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.11+0.71vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-1.25-2.10vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College-0.54-5.12vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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3.5Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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4.42Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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4.02Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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7.02Boston College0.160.1%1st Place
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5.59University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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8.91Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.84Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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7.97Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.55Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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12.71University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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10.9Maine Maritime Academy-1.250.0%1st Place
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8.88Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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14.11Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 16.8% | 17.3% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 21.0% | 20.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 14.3% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 18.1% | 14.5% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Marco Welch | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Harrison Stevens | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 10.9% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 16.3% | 37.4% | 16.5% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 14.1% | 3.9% |
| Owen Warren | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 15.7% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.