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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+2.91vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.50+1.52vs Predicted
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3Boston College0.16+3.85vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.33-0.03vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.12-0.48vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College-0.54+2.91vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.67-1.41vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College-0.57+1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.15-1.19vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.22-1.89vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.39-2.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-0.26vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-1.25-2.11vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-2.11-1.47vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.91Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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3.52Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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6.85Boston College0.160.1%1st Place
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3.97Bowdoin College1.330.2%1st Place
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4.52Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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8.91Bowdoin College-0.540.0%1st Place
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5.59University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.81Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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8.11Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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8.51Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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10.89Maine Maritime Academy-1.250.0%1st Place
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12.53University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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14.12Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 17.4% | 18.0% | 15.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 20.4% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Henry Ladd | 17.7% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 13.8% | 11.9% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Warren | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Marco Welch | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Stevens | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John O'Connell | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 22.3% | 23.7% | 7.3% |
| Joshua Herlihy | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 15.3% | 3.9% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 18.2% | 31.3% | 17.4% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 15.4% | 67.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.