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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.34+3.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.53+4.19vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.12+1.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College-0.57+5.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.67+1.03vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.33-1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University-0.22+1.38vs Predicted
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8Maine Maritime Academy-0.53+1.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University-0.15-0.81vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.50-6.12vs Predicted
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11Bentley University-0.39-2.05vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-2.11+0.92vs Predicted
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13Boston College0.16-5.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.62-2.11vs Predicted
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15Bates College-3.29-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17Bowdoin College1.340.2%1st Place
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6.19Bowdoin College0.530.1%1st Place
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4.67Dartmouth College1.120.1%1st Place
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9.35Dartmouth College-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.03University of Vermont0.670.1%1st Place
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4.21Bowdoin College1.330.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston University-0.220.0%1st Place
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9.36Maine Maritime Academy-0.530.0%1st Place
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8.19Boston University-0.150.0%1st Place
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3.88Northeastern University1.500.2%1st Place
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8.95Bentley University-0.390.0%1st Place
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12.92University of New Hampshire-2.110.0%1st Place
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7.56Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
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11.89Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.620.0%1st Place
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14.23Bates College-3.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Keenan | 17.2% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Conover | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Harry Bryan | 13.5% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooklyn Verplank | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Marco Welch | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Henry Ladd | 14.9% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harrison Stevens | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Skye Johnson | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 11.4% | 4.9% | 1.5% |
| Graham Welsh | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Bullock | 17.9% | 17.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John O'Connell | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Peter Huntley-Robertson | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 9.0% | 18.5% | 38.4% | 18.5% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Colin Shearley | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 11.4% | 26.3% | 23.7% | 8.6% |
| Logan Ray | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 16.5% | 69.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.